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AI-Based MRI Tumor Volume Predicts Prostate Cancer Outcomes, Study Finds

by Kaia

A recent study published in Radiology explores whether artificial intelligence (AI)-based analysis of tumor volume from MRI scans can predict the risk of metastasis and other outcomes for prostate cancer patients who have undergone surgery or radiation treatment.

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Advances in MRI Technology

Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has revolutionized prostate cancer diagnosis. This technology combines different MRI techniques to create detailed images of the prostate, improving detection of serious cases while reducing the likelihood of identifying insignificant conditions. MRI-guided biopsies have also enhanced cancer diagnosis accuracy.

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MRI scans provide valuable information about prostate cancer, including PI-RADS scores (a measure of tumor risk), lesion details, and the radiologic T stage, which shows how far the cancer has spread within the prostate. These features help assess the likelihood of cancer recurrence, though their interpretation can vary among different observers. Tumor grading systems also have varying levels of accuracy, complicating consistent diagnosis.

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AI has the potential to improve the consistency of MRI analysis. Deep learning models have shown that AI can achieve tumor detection accuracy on par with experienced radiologists.

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About the Study

The study aimed to evaluate whether tumor volume calculations using AI could offer independent prognostic insights for prostate cancer patients who had already undergone surgery or radiation therapy. The AI-based results were compared to standard MRI evaluations to determine their effectiveness in predicting patient outcomes.

This retrospective study analyzed data from prostate cancer patients who had MRI scans before radical prostatectomy or radiation therapy. The researchers collected clinical, pathological, and treatment data, including tumor classification based on PI-RADS and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) scores.

Biochemical failure—an increase in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels after treatment—was used as a key outcome in the study. A rise in PSA levels of at least 2 ng/mL after radiation therapy or 0.1 ng/mL after prostatectomy indicated biochemical failure.

The study used AI to calculate tumor volumes, employing nnU-Net, a deep learning model trained to delineate prostate regions and tumors from MRI images. These AI-generated tumor volumes were compared to manually segmented reference volumes created by a radiation oncologist.

Study Findings

The AI model’s tumor volume (VAI) was found to be a strong and independent predictor of outcomes in prostate cancer patients who had received either radiation therapy or radical prostatectomy. The volume of the tumor predicted the risk of metastasis and biochemical failure.

For patients who had radiation therapy, VAI demonstrated higher predictive accuracy for metastasis after seven years compared to traditional risk assessment methods. Additionally, VAI was just as reliable as manual tumor volume assessments in predicting patient outcomes. Although the AI model occasionally missed some lesions with high PI-RADS scores, it remained sensitive to clinically significant disease.

Importantly, the AI’s ability to predict metastasis was comparable to or better than emerging genomic and computational biomarkers. This suggests that AI-based tumor volume analysis could help clinicians better tailor treatment plans, identifying patients who may require more aggressive or personalized approaches.

Conclusions

The study suggests that AI-based tumor volume calculations (VAI) could be a valuable tool for predicting outcomes in prostate cancer patients after surgery or radiation therapy. The model’s consistency across different imaging conditions and its strong predictive power position it as a promising alternative or complement to traditional diagnostic methods in clinical settings.

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